Because petrol prices could increase before summer holidays

With the arrival of summer, millions of Italians are planning the holidays, often relying on the car as the main means to reach the holiday destinations. But precisely in this crucial moment for mobility and internal tourism, a new instability factor threatens to weigh on the pockets of families: the increase in the price of gasoline.

And it is not a marginal or seasonal increase, but of a real undernnate of the price lists to the destroyers, which risks transforming summer departures into a generalized room.

Because fuel prices could increase

On June 16, 2025, the Assouttent Consumer Association launched the alarm: the fuel prices, after weeks of relative decline, recorded a strong rise triggered by the new conflict exploded between Israel and Iran.

It is not the first time that one unstable geopolitical scenario It translates into a direct impact on the cost of fuels. Oil markets are extremely sensitive to tensions in the Middle East, one of the key areas for the extraction and transport of crude oil. With the exacerbation of the war between Israel and Iran, operators fear Interruptions in oil supplies and prices increase to protect themselves from a possible supply crisis.

This dynamic is immediately reflected on the prices of Brent and WTI, the main international benchmarks, which refer to the prices of petrol and diesel prices also in Europe. For this reason, the president of the association, Gabriele Melluso, asked for the urgent intervention of Mister Pricesthe surveillance body at the Ministry of Business and Made in Italy which has the task of monitor the cost trend for consumers and report any anomalies.

Not surprisingly, in the days following the beginning of the conflict, The price of oil has climbed Quickly above 90 dollars per barrel, triggering a domino effect on Italian distributors. The oil companies, in turn, have adapted the price lists based on the new supply costs, and motorists find themselves paying more for each liter.

The risks for the Italian economy and tourism

The problem, as highlighted by Assoutenti, is not only economic, but also temporal. The increase in prices comes precisely in the period of the year in which they concentrate summer departuresand in a country like Italy, where the car remains the main means of transport for domestic tourism, each more for transport translates into an important extra expense. For a family that is preparing to travel hundreds of kilometers to reach the South, the mountains or the coasts, even an increase of 10-15 cents per liter can mean tens of euros more on the total cost of the trip.

Not only that: fuel inflation has multiplicative effects. When the prices of petrol and diesel rise, transport costs also increase of goods, especially those perishable or linked to the tourist chain, such as food and drinks. The result? Prices plus high in supermarkets, restaurants, bathing establishments. In summary: less money available for leisure and more sacrifices for families, just when they should enjoy the well -deserved rest.

Forecast for the summer: what to expect?

The forecasts are not rosy. If the Israeli-Iranian conflict should continue or involve other regional actors, the risk is that the oil quotations remain high For several weeks, dragging with them also the lists of petrol and diesel.

Furthermore, other factors must be taken into account that could contribute to a further increase, such as the Euro-Dollaro change, which influences the final oil price for European countries, the seasonal questionwhich in summer tends to grow, generating tensions on the side of the offer.

For this reason some analysts already speak of possible peaks above 2 euros per liter For the green, with direct consequences not only on the holidays of Italians, but also on public and private transport, on trade and even on agriculture ..