The effects on bills, energy and inflation

The price of natural gas continues to descend, opening new perspectives for families, businesses and the entire European economy. As of April 30, 2025, on the TTF market in Amsterdam – benchmark for gas in Europe – the contracts have opened 0.97%, reaching a 31.65 euros to Megawattora. A symbolic threshold, that of the 32 euros, which had not been broken for months and which deserves careful reflection: it is not just one good news for markets, but potentially also For bills and caravan.

Because the price of the gas under 32 euros is good news

The drop in prices-in general-often reflects a combination of factors: still high European stocks after a mild winter, minor geopolitical tensions compared to the two-year period 2022-2023 and an industrial demand which, albeit in recovery, remains under pre-crisis levels. It is correct to say, therefore, that The gas for 31.65 euros today represents a respite Precious compared to the peaks that had exceeded 300 euros in 2022, during the energy crisis unleashed by the war in Ukraine and the reduction of Russian supplies.

What are the effects on bills? A possible reduction, but not automatic

If the bearish trend is also confirmed in the coming months, the Effects on bills of light and gas they could already be felt in the Third quarter of 2025. However, it should be noted that the final rates for consumers are linked to regulated and often delayed mechanisms compared to the trends of wholesale markets. The Energy Authority (Arera) periodically updates prices, but the variations also affect quarterly or half -yearly basis, making the reduction in the costs of utilities possible but less immediate.

A less expensive gas, however, means more accessible energy for businesses, in particular for those energetically such as steel, ceramic or chemistry. A competitive advantage which can help the European industry recover ground, relaunching production and employment.

It is also an assist for the energy transition: lower production costs In fact, they can encourage investments in renewables and clean technologies, which still require an infrastructure base still linked to gas.

Positive impacts also on the inflationary thrust

The price of energy is one of the main inflation enginesbecause it directly affects not only on the costs of bills for families and businesses, but also on the entire production chain. When the gas costs less, even producing, transporting and distributing goods becomes less expensive. This effect is reflected in a waterfall on a wide range of sectors: from food to manufacture, from logistics services.

Over the past two years, the surge in energy prices had generated a domino effect Which had pushed inflation on record levels, inducing the European Central Bank to repeatedly increase interest rates to cool the economy and bring prices stability. But a significant and lasting drop in the price of the gas, such as the one recorded at the opening of the week (below 32 euros/MWH), can finally contribute to report the inflation under control without having to further exacerbate the monetary conditions.

Optimism, but prudent

Although under 32 euros the gas returns to “normal” levels compared to historical averages, prudence remains a must. There volatility of energy markets It has not disappeared and geopolitical tensions, climate change and energy transition continue to influence the balance between supply and demand.

For now, however, It can be welcomed with moderate optimism A news that brings breath to families and businesses. Because, in a Europe still struggling with the cost of living, every euro saved on the bill is a step forward towards stability.